Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.062518 0.067589 0.072711 0.078264 0.084108 0.090067 0.096595
2025-02-23 0.052508 0.059781 0.067384 0.075897 0.085135 0.094830 0.105747
2025-03-02 0.045771 0.054623 0.064166 0.075155 0.087397 0.100557 0.115709
2025-03-09 0.040506 0.050506 0.061597 0.074694 0.089626 0.106009 0.125233
2025-03-16 0.037902 0.049084 0.061789 0.077112 0.094915 0.114774 0.138427
2025-03-23 0.035129 0.047181 0.061190 0.078423 0.098794 0.121862 0.149706
2025-03-30 0.032577 0.045303 0.060422 0.079364 0.102112 0.128223 0.160119
2025-04-06 0.029774 0.042889 0.058813 0.079124 0.103896 0.132701 0.168288
2025-04-13 0.028284 0.041998 0.058961 0.080926 0.108059 0.139947 0.179707
2025-04-20 0.025811 0.039660 0.057148 0.080173 0.109013 0.143296 0.186463
2025-04-27 0.024082 0.038178 0.056315 0.080551 0.111281 0.148175 0.195026
2025-05-04 0.022955 0.037425 0.056355 0.081980 0.114816 0.154579 0.205437
2025-05-11 0.022475 0.037565 0.057599 0.085028 0.120498 0.163766 0.219450
2025-05-18 0.019895 0.034596 0.054568 0.082397 0.118892 0.163911 0.222387
2025-05-25 0.018177 0.032750 0.052957 0.081546 0.119495 0.166753 0.228623
2025-06-01 0.016717 0.031184 0.051647 0.081025 0.120467 0.170025 0.235380
2025-06-08 0.016349 0.031243 0.052598 0.083565 0.125460 0.178414 0.248588
2025-06-15 0.015651 0.030742 0.052718 0.084941 0.128910 0.184853 0.259383
2025-06-22 0.014888 0.030089 0.052579 0.085930 0.131831 0.190617 0.269353
2025-06-29 0.013829 0.028891 0.051585 0.085674 0.133047 0.194165 0.276511
2025-07-06 0.013428 0.028742 0.052126 0.087577 0.137184 0.201521 0.288565
2025-07-13 0.012354 0.027398 0.050812 0.086780 0.137606 0.204009 0.294374
2025-07-20 0.011653 0.026641 0.050350 0.087180 0.139647 0.208611 0.302914